{ "source": "scribal-saturation-score-dataset.csv, The Scribe's Advantage working dataset (2026-09-09); crossings, the seven professions and the Journalism row reconciled to the book, Ch 23 (2026-09-24)", "chartNote": "Chart series are an indexed illustration (0-100) anchored to the cited early value, current value and crossing date. They are not annual observations. Total Ink rises toward 100 at the cited current value; Novelty Yield falls from 100 toward a floor of 20; the two meet at the Scribal Saturation Threshold, the crossing date the book gives. A crossing the book dates only to a decade (\"~2010s\") is plotted at the decade's midpoint. Bureaucrats carries no chart, because the book gives no crossing date for it.", "professions": [ { "name": "Science", "slug": "science", "crossingDate": "~1970s", "crossingYear": 1975, "totalInk": { "metric": "Scientific papers published per year", "earlyValue": "~10 journals", "earlyDate": "1600s", "currentValue": "3.3M papers/year; 47,000 journals", "currentDate": "2022", "growthFactor": "5.6% annual growth; doubling every 12-13 years" }, "noveltyYield": { "metric": "", "evidence": "18x more researchers needed to maintain Moore's Law doubling vs early 1970s. Nobel age at discovery rose over 20th century (Jones & Weinberg 2011 PNAS). Replication crisis: 36% psychology (OSC 2015); 11% preclinical cancer (Begley & Ellis 2012); 70% failed to reproduce others' work (Baker 2016)." }, "sources": [ "Bloom/Jones/Van Reenen/Webb (AER 2020)", "Jones (RES 2009)", "OSC (Science 2015)", "Begley & Ellis (Nature 2012)", "Baker (Nature 2016)", "NSF NCSES", "Hanson et al. (arXiv 2023)" ], "chart": { "window": { "start": 1900, "end": 2022, "crossing": 1975 }, "crossingValue": 50, "points": [ { "year": 1900, "totalInk": 2.4, "noveltyYield": 96.8 }, { "year": 1903, "totalInk": 2.8, "noveltyYield": 96.3 }, { "year": 1906, "totalInk": 3.3, "noveltyYield": 95.8 }, { "year": 1909, "totalInk": 3.7, "noveltyYield": 95.1 }, { "year": 1912, "totalInk": 4.3, "noveltyYield": 94.4 }, { "year": 1915, "totalInk": 5, "noveltyYield": 93.6 }, { "year": 1918, "totalInk": 5.7, "noveltyYield": 92.7 }, { "year": 1921, "totalInk": 6.6, "noveltyYield": 91.6 }, { "year": 1924, "totalInk": 7.5, "noveltyYield": 90.4 }, { "year": 1927, "totalInk": 8.6, "noveltyYield": 89.1 }, { "year": 1930, "totalInk": 9.9, "noveltyYield": 87.7 }, { "year": 1933, "totalInk": 11.2, "noveltyYield": 86 }, { "year": 1936, "totalInk": 12.8, "noveltyYield": 84.3 }, { "year": 1939, "totalInk": 14.5, "noveltyYield": 82.3 }, { "year": 1942, "totalInk": 16.5, "noveltyYield": 80.2 }, { "year": 1945, "totalInk": 18.6, "noveltyYield": 77.9 }, { "year": 1948, "totalInk": 21, "noveltyYield": 75.5 }, { "year": 1951, "totalInk": 23.5, "noveltyYield": 72.9 }, { "year": 1954, "totalInk": 26.3, "noveltyYield": 70.2 }, { "year": 1957, "totalInk": 29.2, "noveltyYield": 67.4 }, { "year": 1960, "totalInk": 32.4, "noveltyYield": 64.5 }, { "year": 1963, "totalInk": 35.7, "noveltyYield": 61.6 }, { "year": 1966, "totalInk": 39.1, "noveltyYield": 58.6 }, { "year": 1969, "totalInk": 42.7, "noveltyYield": 55.7 }, { "year": 1972, "totalInk": 46.3, "noveltyYield": 52.8 }, { "year": 1975, "totalInk": 50, "noveltyYield": 50 }, { "year": 1978, "totalInk": 53.7, "noveltyYield": 47.3 }, { "year": 1981, "totalInk": 57.3, "noveltyYield": 44.7 }, { "year": 1984, "totalInk": 60.9, "noveltyYield": 42.3 }, { "year": 1987, "totalInk": 64.3, "noveltyYield": 40 }, { "year": 1990, "totalInk": 67.6, "noveltyYield": 37.8 }, { "year": 1993, "totalInk": 70.8, "noveltyYield": 35.9 }, { "year": 1996, "totalInk": 73.7, "noveltyYield": 34.1 }, { "year": 1999, "totalInk": 76.5, "noveltyYield": 32.4 }, { "year": 2002, "totalInk": 79, "noveltyYield": 31 }, { "year": 2005, "totalInk": 81.4, "noveltyYield": 29.7 }, { "year": 2008, "totalInk": 83.5, "noveltyYield": 28.5 }, { "year": 2011, "totalInk": 85.5, "noveltyYield": 27.4 }, { "year": 2014, "totalInk": 87.2, "noveltyYield": 26.5 }, { "year": 2017, "totalInk": 88.8, "noveltyYield": 25.7 }, { "year": 2020, "totalInk": 90.1, "noveltyYield": 24.9 }, { "year": 2022, "totalInk": 91, "noveltyYield": 24.5 } ] } }, { "name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "crossingDate": "Early 1980s", "crossingYear": 1982, "totalInk": { "metric": "Share of GDP", "earlyValue": "2.5%", "earlyDate": "1947", "currentValue": "7.6%", "currentDate": "2006", "growthFactor": "3.0x" }, "noveltyYield": { "metric": "", "evidence": "Share of business profits: 10% (1947) to 50% (2010). Profits decoupled from production. Derivatives of derivatives -- self-referential output." }, "sources": [ "Philippon (NYU Stern)", "Greenwood (HBS)", "BEA value-added by industry" ], "chart": { "window": { "start": 1947, "end": 2024, "crossing": 1982 }, "crossingValue": 50, "points": [ { "year": 1947, "totalInk": 6.1, "noveltyYield": 92.1 }, { "year": 1949, "totalInk": 7.1, "noveltyYield": 91 }, { "year": 1951, "totalInk": 8.2, "noveltyYield": 89.6 }, { "year": 1953, "totalInk": 9.5, "noveltyYield": 88.1 }, { "year": 1955, "totalInk": 10.9, "noveltyYield": 86.5 }, { "year": 1957, "totalInk": 12.5, "noveltyYield": 84.6 }, { "year": 1959, "totalInk": 14.3, "noveltyYield": 82.6 }, { "year": 1961, "totalInk": 16.3, "noveltyYield": 80.4 }, { "year": 1963, "totalInk": 18.5, "noveltyYield": 78 }, { "year": 1965, "totalInk": 21, "noveltyYield": 75.4 }, { "year": 1967, "totalInk": 23.7, "noveltyYield": 72.7 }, { "year": 1969, "totalInk": 26.6, "noveltyYield": 69.8 }, { "year": 1971, "totalInk": 29.8, "noveltyYield": 66.9 }, { "year": 1973, "totalInk": 33.2, "noveltyYield": 63.8 }, { "year": 1975, "totalInk": 36.7, "noveltyYield": 60.7 }, { "year": 1977, "totalInk": 40.4, "noveltyYield": 57.6 }, { "year": 1979, "totalInk": 44.2, "noveltyYield": 54.5 }, { "year": 1981, "totalInk": 48.1, "noveltyYield": 51.5 }, { "year": 1982, "totalInk": 50, "noveltyYield": 50 }, { "year": 1983, "totalInk": 51.9, "noveltyYield": 48.6 }, { "year": 1985, "totalInk": 55.8, "noveltyYield": 45.8 }, { "year": 1987, "totalInk": 59.6, "noveltyYield": 43.1 }, { "year": 1989, "totalInk": 63.3, "noveltyYield": 40.6 }, { "year": 1991, "totalInk": 66.8, "noveltyYield": 38.3 }, { "year": 1993, "totalInk": 70.2, "noveltyYield": 36.2 }, { "year": 1995, "totalInk": 73.4, "noveltyYield": 34.3 }, { "year": 1997, "totalInk": 76.3, "noveltyYield": 32.6 }, { "year": 1999, "totalInk": 79, "noveltyYield": 31 }, { "year": 2001, "totalInk": 81.5, "noveltyYield": 29.6 }, { "year": 2003, "totalInk": 83.7, "noveltyYield": 28.4 }, { "year": 2005, "totalInk": 85.7, "noveltyYield": 27.3 }, { "year": 2007, "totalInk": 87.5, "noveltyYield": 26.3 }, { "year": 2009, "totalInk": 89.1, "noveltyYield": 25.5 }, { "year": 2011, "totalInk": 90.5, "noveltyYield": 24.7 }, { "year": 2013, "totalInk": 91.8, "noveltyYield": 24.1 }, { "year": 2015, "totalInk": 92.9, "noveltyYield": 23.5 }, { "year": 2017, "totalInk": 93.9, "noveltyYield": 23 }, { "year": 2019, "totalInk": 94.7, "noveltyYield": 22.6 }, { "year": 2021, "totalInk": 95.4, "noveltyYield": 22.2 }, { "year": 2023, "totalInk": 96.1, "noveltyYield": 21.9 }, { "year": 2024, "totalInk": 96.3, "noveltyYield": 21.8 } ] } }, { "name": "Attorneys", "slug": "attorneys", "crossingDate": "~1990s", "crossingYear": 1995, "totalInk": { "metric": "Attorneys per capita", "earlyValue": "1 per 695", "earlyDate": "1950", "currentValue": "1 per 250", "currentDate": "2025", "growthFactor": "2.8x" }, "noveltyYield": { "metric": "", "evidence": "Law school enrollment peaked 2010; fell ~30% by 2015; recovered to ~18% below peak by 2025. Ratio of new statutory law to interpretive/procedural filings falling since 1980s. Law about law overtakes new law." }, "sources": [ "ABA National Lawyer Population Survey", "LSAC enrollment data" ], "chart": { "window": { "start": 1950, "end": 2025, "crossing": 1995 }, "crossingValue": 50, "points": [ { "year": 1950, "totalInk": 2.7, "noveltyYield": 96.5 }, { "year": 1952, "totalInk": 3.1, "noveltyYield": 95.9 }, { "year": 1954, "totalInk": 3.6, "noveltyYield": 95.3 }, { "year": 1956, "totalInk": 4.2, "noveltyYield": 94.5 }, { "year": 1958, "totalInk": 4.9, "noveltyYield": 93.6 }, { "year": 1960, "totalInk": 5.7, "noveltyYield": 92.6 }, { "year": 1962, "totalInk": 6.7, "noveltyYield": 91.5 }, { "year": 1964, "totalInk": 7.7, "noveltyYield": 90.2 }, { "year": 1966, "totalInk": 8.9, "noveltyYield": 88.7 }, { "year": 1968, "totalInk": 10.3, "noveltyYield": 87.1 }, { "year": 1970, "totalInk": 11.9, "noveltyYield": 85.3 }, { "year": 1972, "totalInk": 13.7, "noveltyYield": 83.3 }, { "year": 1974, "totalInk": 15.7, "noveltyYield": 81 }, { "year": 1976, "totalInk": 17.9, "noveltyYield": 78.6 }, { "year": 1978, "totalInk": 20.4, "noveltyYield": 76 }, { "year": 1980, "totalInk": 23.1, "noveltyYield": 73.3 }, { "year": 1982, "totalInk": 26.1, "noveltyYield": 70.3 }, { "year": 1984, "totalInk": 29.3, "noveltyYield": 67.3 }, { "year": 1986, "totalInk": 32.7, "noveltyYield": 64.2 }, { "year": 1988, "totalInk": 36.4, "noveltyYield": 61 }, { "year": 1990, "totalInk": 40.1, "noveltyYield": 57.8 }, { "year": 1992, "totalInk": 44, "noveltyYield": 54.6 }, { "year": 1994, "totalInk": 48, "noveltyYield": 51.5 }, { "year": 1995, "totalInk": 50, "noveltyYield": 50 }, { "year": 1996, "totalInk": 52, "noveltyYield": 48.5 }, { "year": 1998, "totalInk": 56, "noveltyYield": 45.7 }, { "year": 2000, "totalInk": 59.9, "noveltyYield": 42.9 }, { "year": 2002, "totalInk": 63.6, "noveltyYield": 40.4 }, { "year": 2004, "totalInk": 67.3, "noveltyYield": 38.1 }, { "year": 2006, "totalInk": 70.7, "noveltyYield": 35.9 }, { "year": 2008, "totalInk": 73.9, "noveltyYield": 34 }, { "year": 2010, "totalInk": 76.9, "noveltyYield": 32.2 }, { "year": 2012, "totalInk": 79.6, "noveltyYield": 30.7 }, { "year": 2014, "totalInk": 82.1, "noveltyYield": 29.3 }, { "year": 2016, "totalInk": 84.3, "noveltyYield": 28 }, { "year": 2018, "totalInk": 86.3, "noveltyYield": 27 }, { "year": 2020, "totalInk": 88.1, "noveltyYield": 26 }, { "year": 2022, "totalInk": 89.7, "noveltyYield": 25.2 }, { "year": 2024, "totalInk": 91.1, "noveltyYield": 24.5 }, { "year": 2025, "totalInk": 91.7, "noveltyYield": 24.1 } ] } }, { "name": "Marketing", "slug": "marketing", "crossingDate": "~2000s", "crossingYear": 2005, "totalInk": { "metric": "Marketing professionals / ad exposures per day", "earlyValue": "~500-1600 ads/day", "earlyDate": "1970s", "currentValue": "4000-10000 ads/day; 2.5M US marketers (6M adjacent; 15M global)", "currentDate": "2024", "growthFactor": "6-20x ad exposure increase" }, "noveltyYield": { "metric": "", "evidence": "Novelty yield arguably zero from crossing. Writing about descriptions of products. Self-referential at every level. More people writing about products than entire literate population of medieval Europe." }, "sources": [ "AMA/BLS employment data 2024", "Digital Silk/GoAdFuel", "Coen Dataset" ], "chart": { "window": { "start": 1950, "end": 2024, "crossing": 2005 }, "crossingValue": 50, "points": [ { "year": 1950, "totalInk": 1.1, "noveltyYield": 98.5 }, { "year": 1952, "totalInk": 1.3, "noveltyYield": 98.2 }, { "year": 1954, "totalInk": 1.6, "noveltyYield": 97.9 }, { "year": 1956, "totalInk": 1.8, "noveltyYield": 97.6 }, { "year": 1958, "totalInk": 2.2, "noveltyYield": 97.2 }, { "year": 1960, "totalInk": 2.5, "noveltyYield": 96.7 }, { "year": 1962, "totalInk": 3.0, "noveltyYield": 96.1 }, { "year": 1964, "totalInk": 3.5, "noveltyYield": 95.5 }, { "year": 1966, "totalInk": 4.1, "noveltyYield": 94.7 }, { "year": 1968, "totalInk": 4.7, "noveltyYield": 93.9 }, { "year": 1970, "totalInk": 5.5, "noveltyYield": 92.9 }, { "year": 1972, "totalInk": 6.4, "noveltyYield": 91.8 }, { "year": 1974, "totalInk": 7.5, "noveltyYield": 90.5 }, { "year": 1976, "totalInk": 8.7, "noveltyYield": 89.0 }, { "year": 1978, "totalInk": 10.1, "noveltyYield": 87.4 }, { "year": 1980, "totalInk": 11.6, "noveltyYield": 85.6 }, { "year": 1982, "totalInk": 13.4, "noveltyYield": 83.6 }, { "year": 1984, "totalInk": 15.4, "noveltyYield": 81.4 }, { "year": 1986, "totalInk": 17.6, "noveltyYield": 78.9 }, { "year": 1988, "totalInk": 20.1, "noveltyYield": 76.3 }, { "year": 1990, "totalInk": 22.9, "noveltyYield": 73.6 }, { "year": 1992, "totalInk": 25.8, "noveltyYield": 70.6 }, { "year": 1994, "totalInk": 29.1, "noveltyYield": 67.5 }, { "year": 1996, "totalInk": 32.5, "noveltyYield": 64.4 }, { "year": 1998, "totalInk": 36.2, "noveltyYield": 61.1 }, { "year": 2000, "totalInk": 40.0, "noveltyYield": 57.9 }, { "year": 2002, "totalInk": 43.9, "noveltyYield": 54.7 }, { "year": 2004, "totalInk": 48.0, "noveltyYield": 51.5 }, { "year": 2005, "totalInk": 50.0, "noveltyYield": 50.0 }, { "year": 2006, "totalInk": 52.0, "noveltyYield": 48.5 }, { "year": 2008, "totalInk": 56.1, "noveltyYield": 45.6 }, { "year": 2010, "totalInk": 60.0, "noveltyYield": 42.9 }, { "year": 2012, "totalInk": 63.8, "noveltyYield": 40.3 }, { "year": 2014, "totalInk": 67.5, "noveltyYield": 37.9 }, { "year": 2016, "totalInk": 70.9, "noveltyYield": 35.8 }, { "year": 2018, "totalInk": 74.2, "noveltyYield": 33.8 }, { "year": 2020, "totalInk": 77.1, "noveltyYield": 32.1 }, { "year": 2022, "totalInk": 79.9, "noveltyYield": 30.5 }, { "year": 2024, "totalInk": 82.4, "noveltyYield": 29.1 } ] } }, { "name": "Journalism", "slug": "journalism", "crossingDate": "~2010s", "crossingYear": 2015, "totalInk": { "metric": "Newsroom employees and newspapers", "earlyValue": "Newsroom staff at the 2005 level", "earlyDate": "2005", "currentValue": "Roughly two-thirds of newsroom employees gone; more than 2,900 newspapers closed or merged since 2004", "currentDate": "today", "growthFactor": "Newsrooms down by roughly two-thirds" }, "noveltyYield": { "metric": "", "evidence": "Local reporting is what went. Hundreds of counties are now news deserts, where no professional reporter covers any public body, and those counties saw municipal borrowing costs rise, public corruption go undetected longer, and voter participation decline. What replaced local journalism is content optimized for engagement: attention selects for outrage, not accuracy." }, "sources": [ "The Scribe's Advantage, Ch 23 (Journalism)" ], "chart": { "window": { "start": 1970, "end": 2026, "crossing": 2015 }, "crossingValue": 50, "points": [ { "year": 1970, "totalInk": 0.8, "noveltyYield": 98.9 }, { "year": 1971, "totalInk": 0.9, "noveltyYield": 98.8 }, { "year": 1972, "totalInk": 1.0, "noveltyYield": 98.7 }, { "year": 1973, "totalInk": 1.1, "noveltyYield": 98.5 }, { "year": 1974, "totalInk": 1.2, "noveltyYield": 98.4 }, { "year": 1975, "totalInk": 1.4, "noveltyYield": 98.2 }, { "year": 1976, "totalInk": 1.5, "noveltyYield": 98.0 }, { "year": 1977, "totalInk": 1.7, "noveltyYield": 97.8 }, { "year": 1978, "totalInk": 1.9, "noveltyYield": 97.5 }, { "year": 1979, "totalInk": 2.1, "noveltyYield": 97.3 }, { "year": 1980, "totalInk": 2.3, "noveltyYield": 97.0 }, { "year": 1981, "totalInk": 2.6, "noveltyYield": 96.7 }, { "year": 1982, "totalInk": 2.8, "noveltyYield": 96.3 }, { "year": 1983, "totalInk": 3.1, "noveltyYield": 95.9 }, { "year": 1984, "totalInk": 3.5, "noveltyYield": 95.5 }, { "year": 1985, "totalInk": 3.9, "noveltyYield": 95.0 }, { "year": 1986, "totalInk": 4.3, "noveltyYield": 94.4 }, { "year": 1987, "totalInk": 4.7, "noveltyYield": 93.9 }, { "year": 1988, "totalInk": 5.3, "noveltyYield": 93.2 }, { "year": 1989, "totalInk": 5.8, "noveltyYield": 92.5 }, { "year": 1990, "totalInk": 6.4, "noveltyYield": 91.8 }, { "year": 1991, "totalInk": 7.1, "noveltyYield": 91.0 }, { "year": 1992, "totalInk": 7.8, "noveltyYield": 90.1 }, { "year": 1993, "totalInk": 8.6, "noveltyYield": 89.1 }, { "year": 1994, "totalInk": 9.5, "noveltyYield": 88.0 }, { "year": 1995, "totalInk": 10.5, "noveltyYield": 86.9 }, { "year": 1996, "totalInk": 11.6, "noveltyYield": 85.7 }, { "year": 1997, "totalInk": 12.7, "noveltyYield": 84.4 }, { "year": 1998, "totalInk": 13.9, "noveltyYield": 83.0 }, { "year": 1999, "totalInk": 15.3, "noveltyYield": 81.5 }, { "year": 2000, "totalInk": 16.7, "noveltyYield": 80.0 }, { "year": 2001, "totalInk": 18.2, "noveltyYield": 78.3 }, { "year": 2002, "totalInk": 19.9, "noveltyYield": 76.6 }, { "year": 2003, "totalInk": 21.7, "noveltyYield": 74.8 }, { "year": 2004, "totalInk": 23.5, "noveltyYield": 72.9 }, { "year": 2005, "totalInk": 25.5, "noveltyYield": 70.9 }, { "year": 2006, "totalInk": 27.6, "noveltyYield": 68.9 }, { "year": 2007, "totalInk": 29.8, "noveltyYield": 66.9 }, { "year": 2008, "totalInk": 32.1, "noveltyYield": 64.8 }, { "year": 2009, "totalInk": 34.5, "noveltyYield": 62.6 }, { "year": 2010, "totalInk": 36.9, "noveltyYield": 60.5 }, { "year": 2011, "totalInk": 39.4, "noveltyYield": 58.4 }, { "year": 2012, "totalInk": 42.0, "noveltyYield": 56.2 }, { "year": 2013, "totalInk": 44.7, "noveltyYield": 54.1 }, { "year": 2014, "totalInk": 47.3, "noveltyYield": 52.0 }, { "year": 2015, "totalInk": 50.0, "noveltyYield": 50.0 }, { "year": 2016, "totalInk": 52.7, "noveltyYield": 48.0 }, { "year": 2017, "totalInk": 55.3, "noveltyYield": 46.1 }, { "year": 2018, "totalInk": 58.0, "noveltyYield": 44.3 }, { "year": 2019, "totalInk": 60.6, "noveltyYield": 42.5 }, { "year": 2020, "totalInk": 63.1, "noveltyYield": 40.8 }, { "year": 2021, "totalInk": 65.5, "noveltyYield": 39.2 }, { "year": 2022, "totalInk": 67.9, "noveltyYield": 37.7 }, { "year": 2023, "totalInk": 70.2, "noveltyYield": 36.2 }, { "year": 2024, "totalInk": 72.4, "noveltyYield": 34.9 }, { "year": 2025, "totalInk": 74.5, "noveltyYield": 33.6 }, { "year": 2026, "totalInk": 76.5, "noveltyYield": 32.5 } ] } }, { "name": "Media", "slug": "media", "crossingDate": "Mid-2020s", "crossingYear": 2025, "totalInk": { "metric": "Newsroom employees / daily content volume", "earlyValue": "71,000 newsroom employees", "earlyDate": "2008", "currentValue": "<30,000 newsroom + 4.4M blog posts/day (WordPress) + 12.8M/day (Tumblr)", "currentDate": "2024", "growthFactor": "Content explosion; newsroom -58%" }, "noveltyYield": { "metric": "", "evidence": "Newsroom decline meets content explosion. Rewritten/aggregated/SEO text overtakes original reporting. Ad spending $19.5B (1970) to $300B+ digital (2024)." }, "sources": [ "Pew Research Center", "WordPress.com stats", "Coen Structured Ad Expenditure Dataset", "eMarketer" ], "chart": { "window": { "start": 1990, "end": 2026, "crossing": 2025 }, "crossingValue": 50, "points": [ { "year": 1990, "totalInk": 0.3, "noveltyYield": 99.6 }, { "year": 1991, "totalInk": 0.3, "noveltyYield": 99.5 }, { "year": 1992, "totalInk": 0.4, "noveltyYield": 99.5 }, { "year": 1993, "totalInk": 0.5, "noveltyYield": 99.4 }, { "year": 1994, "totalInk": 0.6, "noveltyYield": 99.2 }, { "year": 1995, "totalInk": 0.7, "noveltyYield": 99.1 }, { "year": 1996, "totalInk": 0.8, "noveltyYield": 99.0 }, { "year": 1997, "totalInk": 0.9, "noveltyYield": 98.8 }, { "year": 1998, "totalInk": 1.1, "noveltyYield": 98.5 }, { "year": 1999, "totalInk": 1.3, "noveltyYield": 98.3 }, { "year": 2000, "totalInk": 1.5, "noveltyYield": 98.0 }, { "year": 2001, "totalInk": 1.8, "noveltyYield": 97.6 }, { "year": 2002, "totalInk": 2.1, "noveltyYield": 97.2 }, { "year": 2003, "totalInk": 2.5, "noveltyYield": 96.7 }, { "year": 2004, "totalInk": 2.9, "noveltyYield": 96.2 }, { "year": 2005, "totalInk": 3.4, "noveltyYield": 95.5 }, { "year": 2006, "totalInk": 4.0, "noveltyYield": 94.7 }, { "year": 2007, "totalInk": 4.7, "noveltyYield": 93.9 }, { "year": 2008, "totalInk": 5.6, "noveltyYield": 92.9 }, { "year": 2009, "totalInk": 6.5, "noveltyYield": 91.7 }, { "year": 2010, "totalInk": 7.6, "noveltyYield": 90.4 }, { "year": 2011, "totalInk": 8.8, "noveltyYield": 88.9 }, { "year": 2012, "totalInk": 10.3, "noveltyYield": 87.2 }, { "year": 2013, "totalInk": 11.9, "noveltyYield": 85.3 }, { "year": 2014, "totalInk": 13.8, "noveltyYield": 83.2 }, { "year": 2015, "totalInk": 15.9, "noveltyYield": 80.8 }, { "year": 2016, "totalInk": 18.2, "noveltyYield": 78.3 }, { "year": 2017, "totalInk": 20.9, "noveltyYield": 75.6 }, { "year": 2018, "totalInk": 23.7, "noveltyYield": 72.7 }, { "year": 2019, "totalInk": 26.9, "noveltyYield": 69.6 }, { "year": 2020, "totalInk": 30.3, "noveltyYield": 66.4 }, { "year": 2021, "totalInk": 33.9, "noveltyYield": 63.1 }, { "year": 2022, "totalInk": 37.8, "noveltyYield": 59.8 }, { "year": 2023, "totalInk": 41.7, "noveltyYield": 56.5 }, { "year": 2024, "totalInk": 45.8, "noveltyYield": 53.2 }, { "year": 2025, "totalInk": 50.0, "noveltyYield": 50.0 }, { "year": 2026, "totalInk": 54.2, "noveltyYield": 46.9 } ] } }, { "name": "Bureaucrats", "slug": "bureaucrats", "crossingDate": "No date in the book", "crossingYear": null, "totalInk": { "metric": "Federal Register pages / final rules", "earlyValue": "~60,000 pages (est.)", "earlyDate": "1970", "currentValue": "106,109 pages; 3,248 final rules", "currentDate": "2024", "growthFactor": "Pages up 71% YoY; rules at record low" }, "noveltyYield": { "metric": "", "evidence": "Fewer decisions; far more paper per decision. The Federal Register hit 106,109 pages in 2024 while the number of final rules fell to 3,248 (book, Ch 23). The book gives no crossing date for bureaucrats, so this page does not chart one. Headcount fell from 10.8 per 1000 to 6.0 (OPM exec-branch excl. USPS)." }, "sources": [ "OPM series excl. USPS", "Federal Register annual data" ], "chart": null } ] }